the nevada independent logo
President Donald J. Trump acknowledges Sheldon Adelson, Chairman and CEO of Las Vegas Sands, during the annual Republican Jewish Coalition at the Venetian on Saturday, April 6, 2019. (Jeff Scheid/The Nevada Independent)

Former Vice-President Joe Biden has lost ground in Nevada during the last two months, but still leads Sen. Bernie Sanders by a small margin, according to results obtained by Morning Consult.

Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris have both emerged from single digits here, the only Democratic presidential contenders besides Biden and Sanders to do so.

The data below was helpfully extracted by the Morning Consult folks, who are doing daily polling across the country, from numbers they obtained during the first three weeks in July. The Nevada results are from 749 voters surveyed, giving the sample a margin of error of 4 percent. (During the same period, Morning Consult surveyed 52,969 voters across the U.S. MOE=1 percent.)

All the usual caveats apply – it’s early, no weighting for demographics, caucusgoers are elusive animals. But trends since the sample I obtained in May could be significant.

Here are the results, with the increase/decrease from May and comparison with Morning Consult national numbers during the same period:

Joe Biden: 29 percent (minus 9); 32 percent nationally

Bernie Sanders, 23 percent (minus 2); 19 percent nationally

Elizabeth Warren, 11.5 percent (plus 3.5); 13.5 percent nationally

Kamala Harris, 10.5 percent (plus 2.5); 13 percent nationally

Pete Buttigieg, 6 percent (minus 2); 5.5 percent nationally

Cory Booker, 3 percent (no change); 2.5 percent nationally

Beto O’Rourke, 3 percent (plus 1); 3 percent nationally

Andrew Yang, 3 percent (plus 3); 1.5 percent nationally

Julian Castro, 2 percent (plus 2); 1 percent nationally

Steve Bullock, Amy Klobuchar, Tom Steyer, Bill DeBlasio and Tim Ryan all got about 1 percent. (Klobuchar had been at 1.5 percent in May.)

I will keep depending on the kindness of the good folks at Morning Consult to extract these results every couple of months or so.

NV Indy
2020 Election Center
Stories
Candidate Trackers
Endorsements, Ads, Policies, Visits
& More
visit now
Comment Policy (updated 10/4/19): Please keep your comments civil. We reserve the right to delete comments or ban users who engage in personal attacks, use an excess of profanity, make verifiably false statements or are otherwise nasty.
loading...

podcast iconINDYMATTERS PODCAST

    correct us
    ideas & story tips

    podcast iconCAFECITO CON LUZ Y MICHELLE

      EN ESPAÑOL

        @TheNVIndy ON TWITTER

        polilit logo