the nevada independent logo
Rep. Jacky Rosen, D-NV, greets a supporter after she voted at Cardenas Market during the first day of early voting on Saturday, May 26, 2018. (Jeff Scheid/The Nevada Independent)

Democratic Rep. Jacky Rosen leads Republican U.S. Sen. Dean Heller by nearly 50 points among likely Latino voters in Nevada, according to a poll taken for Rosen’s campaign and reviewed by The Nevada Independent.

The poll found that 72 percent of likely Latino voters favor Rosen, 24 percent favor Heller and 4 percent are undecided in a direct matchup between the two candidates. The survey, which sampled 511 Latino likely voters between Oct. 5 and 11, was conducted by the Latino political opinion research firm Latino Decisions, which offers bilingual interviewing at the first point of contact with interviewees and is known for its ability to accurately sample and poll Latino voters in Nevada.

The poll also found significant disapproval of President Donald Trump among Nevada’s likely Latino voters, with 76 percent reporting an unfavorable impression of the president and 21 percent reporting a favorable one. It also found that 89 percent of likely Latino voters are either very or somewhat motivated to turn out to the polls, while 9 percent reported being not too motivated and another 2 percent said they were not at all motivated.

Crosstabs from other recent polls — which are typically less useful for determining how a specific demographic group will vote because of a smaller sample size within those groups and a higher margin of error — have tended to show a narrower margin between Rosen and Heller with Latinos. A frequently cited NBC News/Marist poll, for example, has Rosen only leading by 16 among likely Latino voters, with 54 percent backing her and 38 percent supporting Heller.

The Heller campaign did not respond to a request for its polling data on likely Latino voters for comparison.

NV Indy
2020 Election Center
Candidate Trackers
Endorsements, Ads, Policies, Visits
& More
visit now
Comment Policy (updated 10/4/19): Please keep your comments civil. We reserve the right to delete comments or ban users who engage in personal attacks, use an excess of profanity, make verifiably false statements or are otherwise nasty.


    correct us
    ideas & story tips



        @TheNVIndy ON TWITTER

        polilit logo