There’s an unprecedented level of uncertainty about the economy’s future and signs of possible decreases in tourism to Las Vegas, ongoing budget shortfalls and lower-than-expected tax revenues. 

A dozen Nevada political strategists, experts and elected officials agreed that the fundamentals of the race — inflation, Trump’s appeal with working-class voters and Biden’s unpopularity — favored Republicans. 

Based on the assumption that Harris won 95 percent of registered Democratic votes and 5 percent of votes from registered Republicans in Clark and Washoe counties, she likely only received about 53 percent of the nonpartisan vote, The Indy found.

Nevada, of course, mattered to both campaigns this election cycle. It’s why the Trump campaign focused on building out its Nevada operation long before there was even a Democratic presidential nominee. It’s why Joe Biden’s campaign doubled down on its voter outreach this summer when it felt like the contest was narrowing.

It’s unlikely Republicans will gain a majority in the Senate without a major wave that gives them victory over essentially all seats in play and a fifth seat that’s considered generally out of reach. Democrats enjoy a 13-8 advantage in the Senate, and Republicans are aiming to both pick up seats and defend potentially vulnerable districts to ensure that Democrats don’t obtain a supermajority.

Nevada’s congressional Democrats continued to open up a wide lead in the fundraising race through the first quarter of 2020, even as widespread shutdowns amid the coronavirus pandemic largely shuttered campaign efforts in March.